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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+2.04vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+1.75vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.90+3.09vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.23+6.44vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.50+2.71vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.64-0.91vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina0.22+1.77vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.57+3.28vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-0.20+1.87vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.83+3.66vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-0.13-0.83vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-0.57-0.22vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College-0.17-2.54vs Predicted
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14The Citadel0.33-5.52vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-1.58-0.22vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-2.50vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.60-1.92vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.09-11.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04College of Charleston2.3826.9%1st Place
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3.75Jacksonville University2.1019.7%1st Place
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6.09University of South Florida0.907.5%1st Place
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10.44Clemson University0.231.8%1st Place
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7.71Florida State University0.504.0%1st Place
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5.09University of Miami1.6410.9%1st Place
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8.77University of North Carolina0.224.0%1st Place
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11.28Duke University-0.571.8%1st Place
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10.87University of Central Florida-0.201.7%1st Place
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13.66Embry-Riddle University-1.830.6%1st Place
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10.17Rollins College-0.133.0%1st Place
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11.78University of South Carolina-0.571.4%1st Place
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10.46Eckerd College-0.172.0%1st Place
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8.48The Citadel0.333.9%1st Place
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14.78Florida Institute of Technology-1.580.9%1st Place
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13.5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.211.1%1st Place
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15.08Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.600.4%1st Place
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6.07North Carolina State University1.098.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 26.9% | 22.9% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 19.7% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Barnes | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Brady Parks | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.9% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 13.0% |
| Julia Scott | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Emma Gouiran | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 18.7% | 27.6% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 14.2% |
| Emma Launsby | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 18.6% | 31.9% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.