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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.73+4.23vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.52+1.48vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.26+3.14vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-0.78vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.99+1.80vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.39-2.27vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.81-2.15vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.65-0.60vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.07-2.49vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.43-0.27vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy0.10-0.66vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-0.10-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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3.48Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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6.14SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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3.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.2%1st Place
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6.8Columbia University1.990.0%1st Place
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3.73University of Vermont3.390.2%1st Place
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4.85Dartmouth College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.650.0%1st Place
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6.51Cornell University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.73Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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10.34U. S. Military Academy0.100.0%1st Place
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10.6Rutgers University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sachs | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 19.1% | 20.2% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Lubliner | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Louis Padnos | 22.8% | 22.0% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Croll | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 18.9% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Francois Conde-Jahn | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 19.7% | 14.2% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Jonathan Goldsmith | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Harmen Rockler | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 11.6% | 23.3% | 25.7% | 20.5% |
| Jonathan Hatch | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 15.3% | 30.4% | 33.4% |
| Tim Gorzelnik | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 14.0% | 26.7% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.