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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.54+1.59vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.47+0.76vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.47+1.34vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42+0.30vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.32-0.54vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.23+1.25vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.50vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.15-0.82vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Georgetown University2.540.3%1st Place
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2.76University of Pennsylvania2.470.3%1st Place
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4.34U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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4.3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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7.25SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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7.18Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.62St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Escobar | 31.4% | 23.5% | 19.4% | 12.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 28.0% | 23.6% | 19.6% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Hugh Carty | 9.4% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Henry Haddon | 9.7% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 9.0% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 24.8% | 35.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 19.9% | 22.3% | 17.6% |
| Advik Eswaran | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 22.2% | 34.7% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.