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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.54+1.57vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42+2.59vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.47-0.34vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.47+0.21vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.32-0.50vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.15+1.11vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-1.36vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.56vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.23-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Georgetown University2.540.3%1st Place
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4.59St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.1%1st Place
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2.66University of Pennsylvania2.470.3%1st Place
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4.21U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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4.5University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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7.11Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.64St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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6.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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7.29SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Escobar | 30.7% | 25.5% | 19.2% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 7.3% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Jackson McAliley | 29.9% | 24.6% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Carty | 10.2% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 9.0% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| Advik Eswaran | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 25.5% | 31.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 19.3% | 13.9% | 7.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 20.8% | 20.3% | 17.8% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 22.8% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.