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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.47+1.66vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.54+0.68vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42+1.43vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.47+0.20vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.32-0.53vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.39vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.15+0.24vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.55vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.23-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66University of Pennsylvania2.470.3%1st Place
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2.68Georgetown University2.540.3%1st Place
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4.43St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.1%1st Place
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4.2U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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4.47University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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5.61St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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7.24Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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7.26SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McAliley | 29.9% | 23.3% | 19.0% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 28.6% | 24.9% | 20.0% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 8.9% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 10.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Hugh Carty | 10.4% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 9.0% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 19.0% | 13.3% | 7.3% |
| Advik Eswaran | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 26.6% | 32.9% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 21.6% | 17.4% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 22.8% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.