← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.54+1.47vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.47+0.71vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy1.47+1.19vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+1.43vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42-0.80vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University-0.15+1.02vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont0.76-1.53vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.67vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College-0.23-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.47Georgetown University2.540.3%1st Place
-
2.71University of Pennsylvania2.470.3%1st Place
-
4.19U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
-
5.43St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
-
4.2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.1%1st Place
-
7.02Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
-
5.47University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
-
6.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
-
7.19SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Escobar | 33.2% | 24.3% | 20.8% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 27.3% | 25.7% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hugh Carty | 9.9% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 6.9% |
| Henry Haddon | 10.6% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Advik Eswaran | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 23.4% | 30.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 18.0% | 12.3% | 6.3% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 18.3% | 18.2% | 17.8% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 22.9% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.