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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.47+1.57vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.47+2.31vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.54-0.52vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.76+1.39vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42-0.83vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.52vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.64vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.23-0.83vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.15-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57University of Pennsylvania2.470.3%1st Place
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4.31U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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2.48Georgetown University2.540.3%1st Place
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5.39University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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4.17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.1%1st Place
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5.48St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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6.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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7.17SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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7.06Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McAliley | 29.5% | 27.3% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Carty | 8.1% | 10.7% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 17.6% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Diego Escobar | 33.6% | 25.1% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 7.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 10.3% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.6% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 7.3% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 19.8% | 20.1% | 16.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 22.4% | 34.8% |
| Advik Eswaran | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 23.1% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.