← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42+3.27vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.47+0.70vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.42vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.54-1.59vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+0.39vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy1.47-1.90vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College-0.23+0.21vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont0.76-2.53vs Predicted
-
9Princeton University-0.15-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.27St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.1%1st Place
-
2.7University of Pennsylvania2.470.3%1st Place
-
6.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
-
2.41Georgetown University2.540.3%1st Place
-
5.39St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
-
4.1U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
-
7.21SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
-
5.47University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
-
7.02Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Haddon | 10.4% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 26.1% | 25.7% | 21.1% | 14.0% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 19.5% | 20.5% | 17.2% |
| Diego Escobar | 33.7% | 27.0% | 18.1% | 12.4% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 8.0% |
| Hugh Carty | 11.7% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 18.5% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 21.9% | 35.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 6.8% |
| Advik Eswaran | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 23.0% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.