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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.47+2.94vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.54+0.42vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.47-0.52vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.76+1.21vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+0.26vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.08vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42-2.85vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.23-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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2.42Georgetown University2.540.3%1st Place
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2.48University of Pennsylvania2.470.3%1st Place
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5.21University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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5.26St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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5.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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4.15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.1%1st Place
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6.63SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugh Carty | 10.8% | 13.4% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Diego Escobar | 32.0% | 28.1% | 19.0% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 31.4% | 25.5% | 21.9% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 11.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 19.0% | 18.4% | 12.6% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 22.7% | 26.2% |
| Henry Haddon | 10.2% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 23.1% | 43.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.