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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+1.18vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.47+0.60vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+1.82vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+1.28vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.32-0.67vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.47-1.93vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.95vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.23-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18Georgetown University2.790.4%1st Place
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2.6University of Pennsylvania2.470.3%1st Place
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4.82St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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5.28St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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4.33University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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4.07U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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6.67SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 38.8% | 27.9% | 18.4% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 27.2% | 27.4% | 20.1% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mats Braaten | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 19.1% | 15.1% | 7.3% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 17.7% | 20.0% | 12.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 8.1% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 10.6% | 3.4% |
| Hugh Carty | 9.8% | 12.4% | 17.5% | 19.5% | 17.6% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 16.4% | 24.8% | 27.6% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 13.8% | 21.7% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.