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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.32+3.31vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.47+0.59vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.79-0.81vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+0.88vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.47-0.84vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.02vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.23-0.30vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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2.59University of Pennsylvania2.470.3%1st Place
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2.19Georgetown University2.790.4%1st Place
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4.88St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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4.16U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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5.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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6.7SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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5.19St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 8.1% | 11.2% | 16.3% | 17.5% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 9.9% | 4.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 27.8% | 26.7% | 19.5% | 15.1% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 38.6% | 28.5% | 17.4% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mats Braaten | 6.2% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 19.4% | 15.8% | 7.7% |
| Hugh Carty | 8.4% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 9.1% | 2.7% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 23.7% | 25.4% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 21.4% | 48.7% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 19.2% | 19.0% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.