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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+1.15vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.99vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.32+1.32vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.47-1.38vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.23+1.75vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.47-1.95vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-2.09vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Georgetown University2.790.4%1st Place
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5.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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4.32University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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2.62University of Pennsylvania2.470.3%1st Place
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6.75SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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4.05U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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4.91St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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5.2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 39.0% | 28.0% | 19.5% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 18.5% | 24.2% | 25.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 8.3% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 2.9% |
| Jackson McAliley | 27.1% | 27.2% | 21.2% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 21.8% | 48.5% |
| Hugh Carty | 10.3% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 20.1% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 7.5% | 2.7% |
| Mats Braaten | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 8.3% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 20.7% | 16.3% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.