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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+2.02vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+1.72vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.90+3.11vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.64+1.11vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.33+3.55vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.13+4.31vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-0.20+3.74vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.50-0.24vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.23+1.53vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina0.22-1.37vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.17-0.70vs Predicted
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12Duke University-0.57-0.74vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-1.58+1.83vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.83-0.41vs Predicted
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15Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.60+0.03vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-2.22vs Predicted
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17University of South Carolina-0.57-5.20vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.09-12.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02College of Charleston2.3826.2%1st Place
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3.72Jacksonville University2.1020.4%1st Place
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6.11University of South Florida0.907.4%1st Place
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5.11University of Miami1.6410.1%1st Place
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8.55The Citadel0.333.8%1st Place
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10.31Rollins College-0.132.7%1st Place
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10.74University of Central Florida-0.202.2%1st Place
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7.76Florida State University0.504.8%1st Place
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10.53Clemson University0.232.1%1st Place
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8.63University of North Carolina0.223.8%1st Place
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10.3Eckerd College-0.172.9%1st Place
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11.26Duke University-0.571.9%1st Place
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14.83Florida Institute of Technology-1.580.2%1st Place
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13.59Embry-Riddle University-1.830.5%1st Place
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15.03Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.600.7%1st Place
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13.78University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.210.7%1st Place
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11.8University of South Carolina-0.571.7%1st Place
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5.93North Carolina State University1.098.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 26.2% | 23.1% | 17.9% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 20.4% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Julia Scott | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Brady Parks | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Noah Jost | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 13.4% | 18.8% | 28.1% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 11.8% |
| Emma Launsby | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 33.6% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 13.7% |
| Emma Gouiran | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.