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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.52+2.51vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.39+1.74vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.73+2.09vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.81+0.95vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.99+1.77vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.43+3.85vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-3.82vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.26-1.92vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.07-2.51vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.65-2.56vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy0.10-0.70vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-0.10-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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3.74University of Vermont3.390.2%1st Place
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5.09Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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4.95Dartmouth College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.77Columbia University1.990.0%1st Place
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9.85Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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3.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.2%1st Place
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6.08SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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6.49Cornell University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.650.0%1st Place
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10.3U. S. Military Academy0.100.0%1st Place
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10.61Rutgers University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem Sandberg | 18.8% | 19.1% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 17.5% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 10.1% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 8.4% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Croll | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 10.7% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 21.5% | 29.3% | 20.6% |
| Louis Padnos | 24.8% | 21.7% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Lubliner | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Goldsmith | 4.2% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 8.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Francois Conde-Jahn | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 14.2% | 7.7% | 1.7% |
| Jonathan Hatch | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 15.7% | 30.3% | 32.4% |
| Tim Gorzelnik | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 16.5% | 23.6% | 44.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.