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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.47+0.60vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.32+1.30vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.47+0.12vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-0.15vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.74vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.95vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.23-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Georgetown University2.790.4%1st Place
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2.6University of Pennsylvania2.470.3%1st Place
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4.3University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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4.12U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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4.85St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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5.26St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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6.65SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 40.2% | 27.0% | 17.7% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 27.0% | 27.3% | 20.3% | 14.1% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 8.3% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 10.7% | 3.5% |
| Hugh Carty | 8.7% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 19.1% | 18.0% | 13.3% | 8.3% | 3.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 5.9% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 6.6% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.4% | 4.4% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 13.4% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 17.4% | 22.7% | 28.6% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 12.4% | 23.1% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.