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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+1.10vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.32+2.12vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.47-0.53vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.47-0.08vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.00vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.23+0.29vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-2.33vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.42-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Georgetown University2.790.4%1st Place
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4.12University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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2.47University of Pennsylvania2.470.3%1st Place
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3.92U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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5.0St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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6.29SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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4.67St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 40.8% | 28.7% | 16.5% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 8.3% | 11.3% | 17.4% | 20.3% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 8.0% | 0.9% |
| Jackson McAliley | 28.5% | 29.1% | 21.2% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Carty | 9.5% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 18.6% | 20.1% | 14.0% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.9% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 25.6% | 17.5% | 3.5% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 38.8% | 20.3% |
| Mats Braaten | 6.1% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 20.8% | 20.1% | 14.5% | 2.3% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 15.7% | 71.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.