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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.32+3.04vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.79+0.15vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+1.61vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-0.23+2.31vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.47-3.51vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.47-3.02vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.42-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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2.15Georgetown University2.790.4%1st Place
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4.61St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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6.31SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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4.99St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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2.49University of Pennsylvania2.470.3%1st Place
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3.98U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 9.6% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 20.4% | 18.3% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 0.7% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 38.3% | 29.1% | 18.1% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 6.7% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 20.5% | 20.7% | 12.8% | 2.6% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 16.7% | 39.5% | 20.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 25.8% | 17.3% | 3.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 28.4% | 27.8% | 21.4% | 14.2% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Carty | 10.6% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 19.0% | 18.5% | 16.2% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 16.1% | 71.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.