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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.47+1.47vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+3.02vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.32+1.11vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+0.62vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.47-1.09vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.79-3.87vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.23-0.69vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.42-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47University of Pennsylvania2.470.3%1st Place
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5.02St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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4.11University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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4.62St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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3.91U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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2.13Georgetown University2.790.4%1st Place
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6.31SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McAliley | 29.5% | 28.1% | 21.1% | 12.5% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 19.7% | 25.6% | 16.4% | 4.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 10.3% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 20.3% | 20.2% | 16.7% | 6.9% | 0.7% |
| Mats Braaten | 6.0% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 20.2% | 22.2% | 11.9% | 2.0% |
| Hugh Carty | 9.7% | 12.1% | 20.1% | 19.7% | 17.6% | 15.5% | 5.0% | 0.3% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 37.6% | 30.7% | 18.4% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 42.4% | 20.5% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 0.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 16.3% | 71.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.