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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+3.53vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.47+0.53vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.79-0.88vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.47-0.06vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.32-1.92vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.23-0.67vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.42-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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2.53University of Pennsylvania2.470.3%1st Place
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2.12Georgetown University2.790.4%1st Place
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3.94U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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5.01St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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4.08University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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6.33SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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7.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mats Braaten | 7.3% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 17.9% | 19.3% | 21.3% | 11.2% | 2.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 27.5% | 28.3% | 20.3% | 14.5% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 39.4% | 30.1% | 16.5% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Carty | 9.6% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 20.7% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 6.5% | 0.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.9% | 4.6% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 21.4% | 23.9% | 18.2% | 3.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 8.7% | 11.4% | 18.4% | 18.5% | 19.3% | 15.9% | 6.8% | 1.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 15.9% | 40.3% | 21.4% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 16.4% | 71.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.