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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.86+2.02vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.65+1.32vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.04-0.23vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.64+1.45vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.790.00vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.14+0.42vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.60+0.73vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.19-1.07vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-0.80-0.74vs Predicted
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10Florida State University-0.32-2.79vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-1.93-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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3.32Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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2.77College of Charleston2.040.3%1st Place
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5.45Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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5.0Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Miami0.140.0%1st Place
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7.73University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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6.93North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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8.26University of Florida-0.800.0%1st Place
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7.21Florida State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 23.3% | 20.8% | 20.6% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 20.7% | 19.8% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 26.3% | 24.6% | 20.5% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| May Proctor | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 19.7% | 9.6% |
| Annika Milstien | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 3.9% |
| Natalie Ryder | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 24.3% | 15.9% |
| Tia Schoening | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 5.7% |
| Rain Hong | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 60.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.