Race 5A

saisa-women-fleet-racing-championships

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emily Allen 18.9% 18.5% 18.8% 17.0% 13.3% 6.9% 4.2% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Shay Bridge 7.6% 6.8% 10.0% 13.6% 14.4% 14.7% 12.6% 11.1% 6.9% 1.9% 0.4%
Emma Tallman 26.4% 25.2% 18.1% 14.4% 8.5% 4.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kay Brunsvold 23.4% 20.7% 19.7% 15.6% 9.5% 6.2% 3.3% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Nilah Miller 8.9% 9.4% 11.5% 12.1% 14.9% 14.1% 13.6% 8.6% 5.0% 1.7% 0.2%
Natalie Ryder 1.6% 1.6% 2.6% 4.1% 4.2% 6.2% 10.3% 11.3% 18.4% 22.8% 16.9%
May Proctor 2.4% 4.0% 2.6% 2.9% 6.4% 9.1% 11.5% 13.4% 17.5% 21.0% 9.2%
Arantxa Argibay 4.8% 5.0% 6.8% 8.5% 11.1% 14.6% 12.6% 14.9% 10.8% 9.0% 1.9%
Tia Schoening 2.8% 4.0% 3.5% 4.4% 6.5% 9.9% 13.1% 16.1% 15.9% 15.9% 7.9%
Rain Hong 0.5% 0.3% 1.0% 1.1% 2.0% 2.9% 3.4% 4.9% 9.1% 15.5% 59.3%
Annika Milstien 2.7% 4.5% 5.4% 6.3% 9.2% 10.5% 13.6% 16.6% 15.0% 12.0% 4.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.