← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.10+2.76vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston2.38+1.00vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami1.93+1.78vs Predicted
-
4The Citadel0.33+4.68vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida0.90+1.06vs Predicted
-
6Rollins College-0.13+4.18vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University1.09-0.87vs Predicted
-
8Florida Institute of Technology-1.58+6.75vs Predicted
-
9Florida State University0.50-1.28vs Predicted
-
10University of South Carolina-0.57+1.81vs Predicted
-
11University of North Carolina0.22-2.18vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College-0.17-1.75vs Predicted
-
13Clemson University0.23-2.61vs Predicted
-
14Duke University-0.57-2.54vs Predicted
-
15University of Central Florida-0.20-4.04vs Predicted
-
16Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.60-0.97vs Predicted
-
17Embry-Riddle University-1.83-3.39vs Predicted
-
18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.76Jacksonville University2.1018.6%1st Place
-
3.0College of Charleston2.3826.9%1st Place
-
4.78University of Miami1.9313.0%1st Place
-
8.68The Citadel0.333.1%1st Place
-
6.06University of South Florida0.908.3%1st Place
-
10.18Rollins College-0.132.8%1st Place
-
6.13North Carolina State University1.097.8%1st Place
-
14.75Florida Institute of Technology-1.580.5%1st Place
-
7.72Florida State University0.504.6%1st Place
-
11.81University of South Carolina-0.571.1%1st Place
-
8.82University of North Carolina0.223.5%1st Place
-
10.25Eckerd College-0.172.1%1st Place
-
10.39Clemson University0.232.2%1st Place
-
11.46Duke University-0.571.8%1st Place
-
10.96University of Central Florida-0.201.5%1st Place
-
15.03Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.600.4%1st Place
-
13.61Embry-Riddle University-1.830.6%1st Place
-
13.62University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.211.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 18.6% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 26.9% | 21.8% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 13.0% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Andreas Keswater | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 18.7% | 27.2% |
| Brady Parks | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma Gouiran | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Noah Jost | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Emma Launsby | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 18.1% | 32.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 14.1% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.