Race 10A

big-apple-classic-jesuit-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Mackenzie Spencer 17.3% 15.7% 17.2% 16.4% 11.6% 10.5% 5.7% 3.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
John Croll 4.0% 4.7% 6.3% 7.7% 7.3% 11.5% 12.0% 18.2% 15.5% 8.1% 3.9% 0.8%
Willem Sandberg 20.6% 18.0% 16.7% 15.3% 12.7% 8.6% 3.8% 3.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Sachs 7.7% 10.5% 12.3% 10.8% 13.5% 13.6% 12.6% 10.2% 5.8% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Scott Lubliner 5.4% 6.2% 7.3% 9.5% 9.8% 12.4% 14.8% 11.3% 12.9% 7.8% 2.2% 0.4%
Timothy Scanlon 10.3% 10.0% 10.8% 12.9% 14.4% 12.2% 13.1% 8.1% 5.2% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Louis Padnos 24.3% 22.4% 16.0% 12.4% 10.7% 7.7% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Francois Conde-Jahn 2.8% 4.8% 4.3% 4.9% 6.6% 8.0% 11.6% 14.1% 17.1% 14.9% 8.8% 2.1%
Harmen Rockler 1.1% 0.8% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 2.5% 4.0% 7.6% 10.8% 24.0% 25.5% 19.7%
Jonathan Goldsmith 5.1% 5.4% 6.4% 6.8% 9.0% 10.2% 13.8% 15.1% 16.6% 8.6% 2.1% 0.9%
Jonathan Hatch 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 2.7% 3.7% 7.4% 16.9% 29.3% 33.5%
Tim Gorzelnik 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 2.1% 3.1% 5.7% 14.2% 26.7% 42.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.