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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+1.75vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.65+1.33vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.86+0.12vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.64+1.51vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.05+1.78vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.60+1.94vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.79-2.15vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.14-1.73vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-0.32-1.61vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-0.80-1.84vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-1.93-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75College of Charleston2.040.3%1st Place
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3.33Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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3.12University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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5.51Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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6.78North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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7.94University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.85Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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7.39Florida State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Florida-0.800.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 27.5% | 24.0% | 19.5% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 20.0% | 19.7% | 18.4% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 21.4% | 21.9% | 19.7% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 4.1% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 18.2% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 3.2% |
| May Proctor | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 17.5% | 22.4% | 11.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 1.3% |
| Tia Schoening | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 8.0% |
| Natalie Ryder | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 18.0% | 23.7% | 13.9% |
| Rain Hong | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.