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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.86+2.06vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.65+1.33vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.64+2.52vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.04-1.19vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.05+1.78vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.79-0.95vs Predicted
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7University of Florida-0.80+1.10vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.60-0.17vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-0.32-1.60vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-1.93-0.09vs Predicted
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11University of Miami0.14-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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3.33Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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5.52Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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2.81College of Charleston2.040.3%1st Place
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6.78North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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5.05Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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8.1University of Florida-0.800.0%1st Place
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7.83University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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7.4Florida State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
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6.21University of Miami0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 22.2% | 21.2% | 20.4% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 20.7% | 18.3% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 26.9% | 23.7% | 18.3% | 15.4% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 3.7% |
| Nilah Miller | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Natalie Ryder | 1.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 24.6% | 12.9% |
| May Proctor | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 20.3% | 11.5% |
| Tia Schoening | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 7.9% |
| Rain Hong | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 15.9% | 60.6% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.