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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+1.74vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.65+1.32vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.64+2.50vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.86-0.91vs Predicted
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5University of Florida-0.80+3.21vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.05+0.86vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.14-0.77vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.60-0.17vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.79-3.91vs Predicted
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10Florida State University-0.32-2.75vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-1.93-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74College of Charleston2.040.3%1st Place
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3.32Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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5.5Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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3.09University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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8.21University of Florida-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.86North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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6.23University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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7.83University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.09Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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7.25Florida State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 27.8% | 24.5% | 18.6% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 19.6% | 20.7% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 22.5% | 19.4% | 22.4% | 15.5% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Ryder | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 24.3% | 16.3% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 11.0% | 4.8% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| May Proctor | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 21.1% | 9.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Tia Schoening | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 6.2% |
| Rain Hong | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 59.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.