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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.85+5.69vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.26+5.17vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.01+5.82vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+4.22vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.25-0.85vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.73+0.50vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.31-0.03vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.86-1.47vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.58+1.27vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18+1.63vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.24+0.42vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.48-1.93vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island-0.20-0.37vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.07-4.76vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University-0.55-1.14vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University-0.84-3.77vs Predicted
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17Clemson University0.12-6.69vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy-0.69-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Brown University1.858.3%1st Place
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7.17College of Charleston1.267.9%1st Place
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8.82Tufts University1.015.5%1st Place
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8.22Northeastern University1.185.8%1st Place
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4.15Yale University2.2520.4%1st Place
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6.5Tulane University1.739.4%1st Place
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6.97Roger Williams University1.318.4%1st Place
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6.53Georgetown University1.868.6%1st Place
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10.27Rollins College0.583.2%1st Place
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11.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.182.5%1st Place
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11.42University of Vermont0.242.5%1st Place
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10.07Jacksonville University0.483.0%1st Place
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12.63University of Rhode Island-0.201.6%1st Place
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9.24George Washington University1.074.5%1st Place
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13.86Northwestern University-0.551.6%1st Place
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12.23Christopher Newport University-0.841.8%1st Place
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10.31Clemson University0.124.0%1st Place
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14.29U. S. Naval Academy-0.691.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 20.4% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Anderson | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Shay Bridge | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Meara Conley | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 5.8% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 12.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 23.3% |
| Laura Smith | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% |
| Ashton Loring | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Josephine Sherry | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.