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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.76+6.90vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+7.86vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.92+4.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.29+6.00vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.54+3.81vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+2.60vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16-0.45vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50+0.91vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.93+2.54vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.83-2.22vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.68-2.50vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-3.26vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.79-1.06vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.80-2.12vs Predicted
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15Boston College4.43-9.35vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston4.61-10.91vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9Dartmouth College3.760.1%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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10.0Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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8.81Old Dominion University3.540.0%1st Place
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8.6Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.55St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
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8.91Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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11.54University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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7.78Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.5Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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11.94University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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11.88University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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5.65Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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5.09College of Charleston4.610.1%1st Place
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13.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Catherine Swanson | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% |
| Katrina Williams | 4.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.2% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Maggie Shea | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 14.1% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 14.2% |
| Anne Haeger | 13.5% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Allison Blecher | 12.6% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Curran | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 15.1% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.