Race 11A

big-apple-classic-jesuit-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Willem Sandberg 18.2% 18.9% 16.5% 17.6% 11.0% 8.7% 5.0% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Louis Padnos 23.5% 22.0% 16.2% 13.2% 9.7% 8.2% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Scanlon 11.7% 8.7% 11.6% 11.8% 12.6% 13.5% 13.3% 9.7% 4.2% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Mackenzie Spencer 17.9% 18.5% 16.5% 12.8% 12.4% 9.8% 6.2% 3.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
John Croll 4.3% 4.6% 6.1% 6.4% 9.3% 9.5% 12.6% 16.7% 15.1% 10.5% 4.3% 0.6%
Jonathan Goldsmith 4.8% 5.8% 6.3% 6.4% 8.4% 10.8% 13.6% 14.2% 15.8% 9.7% 3.7% 0.5%
Alexander Sachs 10.0% 10.5% 10.4% 13.2% 11.7% 14.1% 12.2% 8.4% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Francois Conde-Jahn 3.2% 3.9% 4.5% 5.0% 7.1% 7.7% 11.1% 13.5% 20.6% 14.3% 6.7% 2.4%
Scott Lubliner 4.5% 4.9% 9.0% 8.9% 12.1% 12.5% 14.4% 14.9% 10.8% 6.2% 1.7% 0.1%
Harmen Rockler 0.7% 0.5% 2.0% 3.0% 2.0% 2.3% 3.0% 6.7% 10.4% 22.9% 25.9% 20.6%
Jonathan Hatch 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 1.0% 1.7% 1.6% 2.1% 4.4% 7.9% 15.8% 29.9% 33.3%
Tim Gorzelnik 0.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.7% 2.0% 1.3% 2.1% 3.6% 5.6% 14.2% 26.5% 42.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.