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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+2.75vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.38+1.03vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.93+1.71vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.13+6.39vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.22+3.76vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.09-0.11vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.90-0.90vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.50-0.41vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.33-0.32vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-0.57+1.88vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.17-0.86vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.23-1.58vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.20-2.07vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.83-0.40vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.57-3.61vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-1.58-1.09vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.60-2.07vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Jacksonville University2.1018.8%1st Place
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3.03College of Charleston2.3827.4%1st Place
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4.71University of Miami1.9311.1%1st Place
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10.39Rollins College-0.131.8%1st Place
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8.76University of North Carolina0.223.9%1st Place
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5.89North Carolina State University1.098.9%1st Place
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6.1University of South Florida0.907.3%1st Place
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7.59Florida State University0.504.4%1st Place
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8.68The Citadel0.333.4%1st Place
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11.88University of South Carolina-0.571.8%1st Place
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10.14Eckerd College-0.172.9%1st Place
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10.42Clemson University0.232.5%1st Place
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10.93University of Central Florida-0.202.0%1st Place
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13.6Embry-Riddle University-1.830.5%1st Place
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11.39Duke University-0.571.8%1st Place
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14.91Florida Institute of Technology-1.580.4%1st Place
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14.93Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.600.8%1st Place
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13.91University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.210.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 18.8% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 27.4% | 22.1% | 17.4% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 11.1% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Noah Jost | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Parks | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emma Gouiran | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 13.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 18.4% | 29.3% |
| Emma Launsby | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 18.7% | 29.5% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.