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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+2.76vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.38+1.06vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.93+1.78vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.13+6.08vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College-0.17+5.27vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.90-0.12vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.50+0.57vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.09-2.18vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.23+1.33vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-0.57+1.66vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina0.22-2.39vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.20-1.23vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.33-4.48vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-0.78vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.57-3.90vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-1.83-2.70vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-1.58-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76Jacksonville University2.1018.6%1st Place
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3.06College of Charleston2.3826.1%1st Place
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4.78University of Miami1.9312.2%1st Place
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10.08Rollins College-0.132.2%1st Place
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10.27Eckerd College-0.172.1%1st Place
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5.88University of South Florida0.908.4%1st Place
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7.57Florida State University0.504.9%1st Place
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5.82North Carolina State University1.099.2%1st Place
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10.33Clemson University0.232.4%1st Place
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11.66University of South Carolina-0.571.4%1st Place
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8.61University of North Carolina0.224.0%1st Place
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10.77University of Central Florida-0.201.6%1st Place
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8.52The Citadel0.333.4%1st Place
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13.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.210.7%1st Place
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11.1Duke University-0.571.5%1st Place
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13.3Embry-Riddle University-1.830.8%1st Place
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14.27Florida Institute of Technology-1.580.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 18.6% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 26.1% | 22.9% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 12.2% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Andreas Keswater | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Brady Parks | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Emma Gouiran | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 7.2% |
| Noah Jost | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 17.8% | 19.5% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 5.3% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 19.0% | 19.7% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 17.1% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.