Race 12A

big-apple-classic-jesuit-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alexander Sachs 9.0% 7.9% 11.7% 11.5% 13.9% 13.0% 13.5% 9.8% 6.3% 2.8% 0.4% 0.2%
Timothy Scanlon 8.5% 12.6% 11.3% 11.2% 14.1% 14.1% 10.2% 9.7% 5.9% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Louis Padnos 22.5% 19.7% 19.2% 14.8% 10.5% 6.8% 4.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Lubliner 4.7% 5.6% 8.3% 10.1% 10.8% 11.8% 14.0% 13.4% 11.4% 7.4% 2.4% 0.1%
Willem Sandberg 19.8% 21.3% 14.5% 14.9% 10.8% 9.1% 4.7% 2.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Mackenzie Spencer 19.3% 15.8% 16.3% 15.6% 11.0% 9.6% 6.5% 3.5% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Goldsmith 5.3% 5.5% 7.6% 6.8% 9.7% 10.5% 12.4% 16.3% 12.8% 8.5% 3.8% 0.8%
John Croll 5.4% 5.5% 5.4% 7.4% 8.4% 9.4% 14.7% 13.3% 16.7% 9.7% 3.2% 0.9%
Harmen Rockler 1.1% 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 3.1% 4.1% 7.5% 10.5% 22.2% 28.6% 18.5%
Jonathan Hatch 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 2.2% 2.6% 2.6% 3.5% 7.9% 15.6% 29.3% 32.8%
Tim Gorzelnik 1.0% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.8% 3.3% 3.9% 4.6% 14.3% 24.4% 44.8%
Francois Conde-Jahn 2.9% 4.3% 2.8% 4.4% 6.3% 9.2% 10.0% 14.9% 19.3% 16.2% 7.8% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.