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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+5.52vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.22+5.02vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.77+5.91vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.00+4.04vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43+5.00vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.42+0.59vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.82+1.71vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.17-0.81vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.28+2.01vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.79+2.52vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.66-5.31vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.39-1.61vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.27-1.96vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.91-5.52vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.35-8.38vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.08-4.33vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.81-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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8.91Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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8.04Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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10.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.0%1st Place
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6.59Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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8.71Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
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7.19Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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11.01Boston University1.280.0%1st Place
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12.52Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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5.69University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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10.39George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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8.48North Carolina State University1.910.1%1st Place
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6.62Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.67Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.6Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Jensen | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Tanner Kelly | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Calvin Schmid | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% |
| Zander King | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Gilda Dondona | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Owen Bannasch | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Dylan Balunas | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 21.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 14.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Jacob Zils | 10.0% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 14.3% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 17.2% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.