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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.17+6.12vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+3.45vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+3.69vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43+6.29vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.79+7.40vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.82+2.90vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.91+1.40vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.22-0.99vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.42-2.46vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.27+0.73vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.35-4.16vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.39-1.65vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.77-3.93vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.28-3.06vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.00-7.03vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.81-3.36vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.08-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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5.45University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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6.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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10.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.0%1st Place
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12.4Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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8.9Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
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8.4North Carolina State University1.910.1%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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6.54Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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10.73University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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6.84Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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10.35George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.07Webb Institute1.770.1%1st Place
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10.94Boston University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.97Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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12.64Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.65Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 11.9% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 21.1% |
| Gilda Dondona | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Tanner Kelly | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Zander King | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.6% |
| Calvin Schmid | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% |
| Dylan Balunas | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 22.6% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.