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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.42+5.18vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.08+9.45vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.28+7.77vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.66+1.63vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.39+5.25vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.81+6.73vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-0.36vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.27+2.62vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.77+0.15vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.79+2.58vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.22-3.69vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.00-3.98vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.17-5.54vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.91-5.54vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-4.76vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.35-9.30vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.82-8.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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11.45Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.77Boston University1.280.0%1st Place
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5.63University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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10.25George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.73Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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6.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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9.15Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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12.58Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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8.02Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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7.46Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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8.46North Carolina State University1.910.1%1st Place
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10.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.0%1st Place
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6.7Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.82Cornell University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zander King | 12.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 12.6% |
| Dylan Balunas | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% |
| Atlee Kohl | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 22.1% |
| Nathan Jensen | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% |
| Calvin Schmid | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 21.5% |
| Tanner Kelly | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Owen Bannasch | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Gilda Dondona | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.