← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University2.00+6.74vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.91+6.31vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43+7.21vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University1.82+4.79vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University2.35+1.58vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.22+1.31vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-0.35vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University1.39+2.16vs Predicted
-
9Christopher Newport University0.79+3.84vs Predicted
-
10Tulane University2.42-3.67vs Predicted
-
11Boston University1.28-0.04vs Predicted
-
12University of Miami2.66-6.38vs Predicted
-
13Webb Institute1.77-3.99vs Predicted
-
14Jacksonville University2.17-6.51vs Predicted
-
15Hampton University0.81-2.55vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont1.27-5.09vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University1.08-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.74Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
-
8.31North Carolina State University1.910.1%1st Place
-
10.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.0%1st Place
-
8.79Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
-
6.58Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
-
7.31U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
-
6.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
-
10.16George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
-
12.84Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
-
6.33Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
-
10.96Boston University1.280.0%1st Place
-
5.62University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
-
9.01Webb Institute1.770.1%1st Place
-
7.49Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
-
12.45Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
-
10.91University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
-
11.63Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 6.1% |
| Gilda Dondona | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Jacob Zils | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Tanner Kelly | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Jensen | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 22.4% |
| Zander King | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Balunas | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 11.3% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% |
| Owen Bannasch | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 22.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% |
| Blake Goodwin | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.