← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Miami1.93+3.57vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University2.10+1.65vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida0.90+2.53vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.38-1.10vs Predicted
-
5The Citadel0.33+2.89vs Predicted
-
6Duke University-0.57+4.31vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University1.09-1.53vs Predicted
-
8Rollins College-0.13+1.29vs Predicted
-
9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21+3.28vs Predicted
-
10Clemson University0.23-0.45vs Predicted
-
11University of South Carolina-1.71+2.70vs Predicted
-
12Florida State University0.50-4.75vs Predicted
-
13University of Central Florida-0.20-2.94vs Predicted
-
14Florida Institute of Technology-1.58-0.78vs Predicted
-
15Embry-Riddle University-1.83-2.75vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina0.22-7.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.57University of Miami1.9312.8%1st Place
-
3.65Jacksonville University2.1017.8%1st Place
-
5.53University of South Florida0.908.8%1st Place
-
2.9College of Charleston2.3828.7%1st Place
-
7.89The Citadel0.333.8%1st Place
-
10.31Duke University-0.572.0%1st Place
-
5.47North Carolina State University1.099.1%1st Place
-
9.29Rollins College-0.132.4%1st Place
-
12.28University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.210.5%1st Place
-
9.55Clemson University0.232.4%1st Place
-
13.7University of South Carolina-1.710.4%1st Place
-
7.25Florida State University0.504.6%1st Place
-
10.06University of Central Florida-0.201.4%1st Place
-
13.22Florida Institute of Technology-1.580.5%1st Place
-
12.25Embry-Riddle University-1.830.8%1st Place
-
8.08University of North Carolina0.224.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 12.8% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 17.8% | 20.0% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 8.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 28.7% | 21.0% | 18.9% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 14.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Robert Gates | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 21.4% | 35.8% |
| Brady Parks | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 18.6% | 29.5% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 13.1% |
| Noah Jost | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.