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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.04+5.38vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.43+3.40vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.70+1.85vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.13+2.17vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.11+1.14vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.24-2.36vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-2.80vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-4.52vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.10-2.93vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.88+1.01vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-0.15-0.78vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-0.33-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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5.4Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.85Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.17Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
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6.14Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.64University of Vermont3.240.2%1st Place
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4.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.2%1st Place
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3.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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6.07SUNY Maritime College2.100.1%1st Place
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11.01Syracuse University-0.880.0%1st Place
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10.22U. S. Military Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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10.45Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Reynolds | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 7.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Martin McDonald | 7.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Coplon | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 7.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rivlin | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Crane | 19.5% | 18.3% | 18.0% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 15.2% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 23.2% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nilsen | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 5.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Stege | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 13.7% | 24.5% | 52.0% |
| Phillip Weigand | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 28.3% | 32.1% | 22.3% |
| Laine Meelheim | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 23.8% | 37.9% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.