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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.42+5.15vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+4.53vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43+7.17vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.27+6.78vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.00+2.67vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.66-0.34vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.17+0.30vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.90+0.11vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.08+2.66vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.22-3.05vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.79+1.61vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.77-3.22vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.82-4.26vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.91-5.60vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.28-4.34vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.39-5.65vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.81-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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6.53St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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10.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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7.67Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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7.3Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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8.11Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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11.66Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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12.61Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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8.78Webb Institute1.770.1%1st Place
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8.74Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
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8.4North Carolina State University1.910.1%1st Place
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10.66Boston University1.280.0%1st Place
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10.35George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.5Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zander King | 11.4% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Jensen | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Dolan | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Blake Goodwin | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 12.7% |
| Tanner Kelly | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 24.3% |
| Calvin Schmid | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Gilda Dondona | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Dylan Balunas | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.