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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.91+7.07vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+4.50vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.90+5.31vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.42+2.39vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.39+5.12vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.22+1.31vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43+3.13vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.28+2.47vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.81+3.70vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.17-2.82vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.66-5.32vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.82-3.38vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.79-0.29vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.00-5.95vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.91-6.72vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.27-5.10vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.08-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07North Carolina State University1.910.1%1st Place
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6.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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8.31Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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6.39Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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10.12George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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10.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.0%1st Place
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10.47Boston University1.280.0%1st Place
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12.7Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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7.18Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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8.62Cornell University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.71Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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8.05Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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8.28Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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10.9University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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11.58Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gosselin | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Jensen | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Zander King | 9.7% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% |
| Tanner Kelly | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% |
| Dylan Balunas | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 22.3% |
| Owen Bannasch | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 14.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gilda Dondona | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 23.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Rayne Duff | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 8.4% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.