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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+5.48vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+3.39vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.91+5.29vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.22+3.07vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.42+1.15vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.00+2.06vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.28+3.75vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.39+2.13vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.90-0.53vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.08+1.41vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.91-2.49vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-1.79vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.17-5.67vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.81-1.38vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.82-6.37vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.27-5.12vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.79-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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8.29North Carolina State University1.910.1%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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6.15Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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8.06Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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10.75Boston University1.280.0%1st Place
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10.13George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.47Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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11.41Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.51Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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10.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.0%1st Place
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7.33Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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12.62Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.63Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
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10.88University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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12.62Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Jensen | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 13.2% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Tanner Kelly | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Zander King | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Dylan Balunas | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.3% |
| Rayne Duff | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 5.9% |
| Owen Bannasch | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 23.1% |
| Gilda Dondona | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.