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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+7.15vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.08+9.56vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.66+2.55vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.91+4.43vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.39+5.24vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.00+2.21vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-0.33vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.42-1.68vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.22-1.62vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.28+0.76vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.35-4.17vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.27-1.15vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-2.59vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University2.17-6.51vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.79-2.41vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.81-3.32vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.82-8.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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11.56Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.55University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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8.43North Carolina State University1.910.1%1st Place
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10.24George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.21Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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6.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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6.32Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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7.38U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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10.76Boston University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.83Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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10.85University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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10.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.0%1st Place
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7.49Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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12.59Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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12.68Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.87Cornell University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 12.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 14.1% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Nathan Jensen | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Zander King | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Tanner Kelly | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Dylan Balunas | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Christian Cushman | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% |
| Owen Bannasch | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 22.8% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 21.5% |
| Gilda Dondona | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.