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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+7.21vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.35+4.60vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.17+4.39vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.08+7.58vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+1.59vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.91+2.59vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.39+3.43vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.22-0.90vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.66-3.24vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.82-1.33vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.28-0.03vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.27-1.09vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.42-6.50vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.00-5.86vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-4.73vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.79-3.29vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.81-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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6.6Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.39Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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11.58Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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8.59North Carolina State University1.910.1%1st Place
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10.43George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.1U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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8.67Cornell University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.97Boston University1.280.0%1st Place
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10.91University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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6.5Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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8.14Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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10.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.0%1st Place
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12.71Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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12.57Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 14.2% |
| Nathan Jensen | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 5.6% |
| Tanner Kelly | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Gilda Dondona | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Dylan Balunas | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 10.3% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% |
| Zander King | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 22.8% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.