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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.90+4.69vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+1.58vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.93+1.46vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.09+1.61vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.13+4.38vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.50+1.16vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.38-4.17vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.33-0.04vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.23+0.55vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina0.22-1.95vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.83+1.31vs Predicted
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12Duke University-0.57-1.67vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.20-3.07vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-1.71-0.46vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-2.54vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-1.58-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69University of South Florida0.907.8%1st Place
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3.58Jacksonville University2.1020.2%1st Place
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4.46University of Miami1.9313.2%1st Place
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5.61North Carolina State University1.097.5%1st Place
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9.38Rollins College-0.131.9%1st Place
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7.16Florida State University0.505.2%1st Place
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2.83College of Charleston2.3829.1%1st Place
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7.96The Citadel0.333.5%1st Place
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9.55Clemson University0.232.5%1st Place
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8.05University of North Carolina0.222.9%1st Place
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12.31Embry-Riddle University-1.830.6%1st Place
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10.33Duke University-0.571.8%1st Place
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9.93University of Central Florida-0.202.0%1st Place
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13.54University of South Carolina-1.710.4%1st Place
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12.46University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.210.8%1st Place
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13.15Florida Institute of Technology-1.580.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Keswater | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 20.2% | 17.2% | 18.5% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 13.2% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Brady Parks | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 29.1% | 23.2% | 17.8% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Noah Jost | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 13.6% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Robert Gates | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 20.3% | 34.4% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 18.9% | 15.7% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 20.0% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.