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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.75+3.15vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.37+6.92vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.01+3.60vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.61+7.87vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.32+0.39vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.63+5.93vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.19+2.67vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.61-0.07vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.74+2.57vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.83+0.98vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73-3.25vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.31-2.77vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.27-7.25vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.32-4.61vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.54-6.67vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.89-5.15vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.37-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15U. S. Naval Academy2.750.2%1st Place
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8.92Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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6.6Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.87Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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5.39Tulane University2.320.1%1st Place
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11.93Cornell University0.630.0%1st Place
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9.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.190.0%1st Place
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7.93Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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11.57Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Vermont0.830.0%1st Place
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7.75St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.1%1st Place
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9.23North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
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5.75University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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9.39Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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8.33Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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10.85George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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12.7Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Reinecke | 19.5% | 18.8% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Lucas Thress | 8.6% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Brown | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 15.9% |
| John Wood | 13.0% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Marcus Greco | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 14.4% |
| Jack Guinness | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Patrick Igoe | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 11.7% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% |
| Raam Fox | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Usher | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Pierce Brindley | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% |
| Laura Smith | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.