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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.75+3.13vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.01+4.47vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.61+5.04vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.61+7.78vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.37+7.44vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.37+3.15vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.31+2.21vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73-0.50vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.32+0.36vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.19-0.48vs Predicted
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11Cornell University0.63+0.84vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.32-6.45vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.27-7.27vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.54-5.59vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.74-3.70vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.67-4.30vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.89-6.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13U. S. Naval Academy2.750.2%1st Place
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6.47Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.04Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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11.78Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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12.44Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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9.15Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.21North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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7.5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.1%1st Place
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9.36Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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9.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.190.0%1st Place
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11.84Cornell University0.630.0%1st Place
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5.55Tulane University2.320.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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8.41Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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11.3Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Vermont0.670.0%1st Place
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10.87George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Reinecke | 20.1% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Tyler Brown | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 14.9% |
| Laura Smith | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 21.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Benjamin Usher | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Raam Fox | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Pierce Brindley | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Jack Guinness | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Marcus Greco | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 17.1% |
| John Wood | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 10.5% |
| Marco Welch | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 12.3% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.