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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.32+4.32vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.61+9.75vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.27+2.65vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.54+4.37vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.31+3.98vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.75-1.63vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.32+2.11vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.74+3.12vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73-1.22vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.01-3.55vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.61-2.76vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.67-0.44vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.37-0.24vs Predicted
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14George Washington University0.89-3.01vs Predicted
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15Cornell University0.63-3.27vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.19-6.26vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.37-7.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32Tulane University2.320.1%1st Place
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11.75Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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5.65University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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8.37Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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8.98North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
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4.37U. S. Naval Academy2.750.2%1st Place
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9.11Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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11.12Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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7.78St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.1%1st Place
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6.45Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.24Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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11.56University of Vermont0.670.0%1st Place
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12.76Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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10.99George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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11.73Cornell University0.630.0%1st Place
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9.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.190.0%1st Place
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9.07Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wood | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 14.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% |
| Benjamin Usher | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 17.8% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Brindley | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Peter Stewart | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% |
| Raam Fox | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Lucas Thress | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Marco Welch | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.6% |
| Laura Smith | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 22.4% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.9% |
| Marcus Greco | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 14.7% |
| Jack Guinness | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.