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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.37+7.97vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.61+6.11vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73+4.75vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.31+5.48vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.83+6.03vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.01+0.94vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.89+4.04vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.27-2.22vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.75-4.54vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.54-1.56vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.43-1.89vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.32-6.33vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.19-2.96vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.61-1.81vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.32-5.65vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.37-3.01vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.74-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.97Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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8.11Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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7.75St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.1%1st Place
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9.48North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Vermont0.830.0%1st Place
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6.94Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.04George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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5.78University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Naval Academy2.750.2%1st Place
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8.44Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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9.11Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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5.67Tulane University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.190.0%1st Place
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12.19Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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9.35Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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12.99Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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11.66Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dillon | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Patrick Igoe | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Raam Fox | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Benjamin Usher | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% |
| Lucas Thress | 8.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% |
| Aidan Dennis | 12.9% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 16.5% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Ava Gustafson | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| John Wood | 11.8% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jack Guinness | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% |
| Tyler Brown | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 18.7% |
| Pierce Brindley | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Laura Smith | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 25.6% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.