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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+7.13vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.61+10.11vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.27+2.89vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.19+6.07vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.01+1.70vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.32-0.04vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.75-2.65vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.32+1.30vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.37+0.56vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.54-1.46vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73-2.94vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.89-0.81vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.83-1.48vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.37-0.92vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.43-5.96vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.31-6.36vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.25-7.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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12.11Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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5.89University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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10.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.190.0%1st Place
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6.7Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.96Tulane University2.320.1%1st Place
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4.35U. S. Naval Academy2.750.2%1st Place
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9.3Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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9.56Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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8.54Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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8.06St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.1%1st Place
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11.19George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Vermont0.830.0%1st Place
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13.08Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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9.04Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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9.64North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
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9.85Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Tyler Brown | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 18.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Guinness | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| John Wood | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 18.2% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Brindley | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Raam Fox | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 10.3% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 12.6% |
| Laura Smith | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 27.6% |
| Ava Gustafson | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Benjamin Usher | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.