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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+6.94vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.27+3.67vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.37+6.17vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.31+5.47vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.61+6.85vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.32-0.17vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.43+1.90vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.75-3.68vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.01-2.15vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.54-1.58vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.67+0.94vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.89-1.02vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.74-1.34vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.32-4.52vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.19-5.21vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73-8.18vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.37-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.94Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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9.17Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.47North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
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11.85Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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5.83Tulane University2.320.1%1st Place
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8.9Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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4.32U. S. Naval Academy2.750.2%1st Place
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6.85Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.42Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Vermont0.670.0%1st Place
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10.98George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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11.66Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.48Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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9.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.190.0%1st Place
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7.82St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.1%1st Place
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12.91Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Benjamin Usher | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% |
| Tyler Brown | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 15.7% |
| John Wood | 10.4% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ava Gustafson | 5.8% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 20.3% | 16.7% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Marco Welch | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 16.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 13.4% |
| Pierce Brindley | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Jack Guinness | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| Raam Fox | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Laura Smith | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 16.6% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.