← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University2.32+4.50vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.61+6.20vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami2.27+2.77vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University2.01+2.80vs Predicted
-
5Webb Institute1.54+3.40vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University0.37+6.99vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.75-2.70vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University0.89+2.78vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.37+0.32vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University1.43-1.25vs Predicted
-
11Boston University0.74+0.60vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73-4.23vs Predicted
-
13North Carolina State University1.31-3.47vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University1.32-4.53vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.19-5.10vs Predicted
-
16Hampton University0.61-3.89vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont0.67-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.5Tulane University2.320.1%1st Place
-
8.2Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
-
5.77University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
-
6.8Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
-
8.4Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
-
12.99Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
-
4.3U. S. Naval Academy2.750.2%1st Place
-
10.78George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
-
9.32Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
-
8.75Cornell University1.430.0%1st Place
-
11.6Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
-
7.77St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.1%1st Place
-
9.53North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
-
9.47Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
-
9.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.190.0%1st Place
-
12.11Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
-
11.83University of Vermont0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wood | 13.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Thress | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Laura Smith | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 24.5% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 18.0% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Ava Gustafson | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% |
| Peter Stewart | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 12.2% |
| Raam Fox | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Benjamin Usher | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Pierce Brindley | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Jack Guinness | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% |
| Tyler Brown | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 15.7% |
| Marco Welch | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.