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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.93+3.47vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+1.52vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.38-0.13vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.13+5.40vs Predicted
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5University of Central Florida-0.20+4.75vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.09-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.90-1.27vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.50-0.96vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina0.22-0.80vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.57+0.36vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.23-1.52vs Predicted
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12The Citadel0.33-3.98vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.83-0.79vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-1.71-0.56vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-1.58-1.73vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47University of Miami1.9312.8%1st Place
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3.52Jacksonville University2.1021.4%1st Place
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2.87College of Charleston2.3828.5%1st Place
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9.4Rollins College-0.132.3%1st Place
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9.75University of Central Florida-0.201.8%1st Place
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5.67North Carolina State University1.098.1%1st Place
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5.73University of South Florida0.907.8%1st Place
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7.04Florida State University0.504.8%1st Place
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8.2University of North Carolina0.223.4%1st Place
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10.36Duke University-0.571.6%1st Place
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9.48Clemson University0.231.8%1st Place
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8.02The Citadel0.333.5%1st Place
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12.21Embry-Riddle University-1.830.9%1st Place
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13.44University of South Carolina-1.710.4%1st Place
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13.27Florida Institute of Technology-1.580.5%1st Place
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12.57University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.210.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 12.8% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 21.4% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 28.5% | 23.6% | 18.0% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brady Parks | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Rowan Barnes | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 15.2% |
| Robert Gates | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 20.9% | 31.6% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 20.5% | 27.5% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.