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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.27+4.67vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73+5.72vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.75+1.37vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.32+1.78vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.43+3.76vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.61+6.20vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.01-0.27vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.98+2.46vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.61-0.61vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.54-1.60vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.32-1.49vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.19-2.17vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.67-1.08vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.37-1.06vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.74-3.50vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.89-4.88vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.77-9.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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7.72St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.1%1st Place
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4.37U. S. Naval Academy2.750.2%1st Place
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5.78Tulane University2.320.1%1st Place
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8.76Cornell University1.430.0%1st Place
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12.2Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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6.73Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.46North Carolina State University0.980.0%1st Place
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8.39Jacksonville University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.4Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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9.51Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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9.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.190.0%1st Place
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11.92University of Vermont0.670.0%1st Place
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12.94Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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11.5Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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11.12George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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7.72Northeastern University1.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 13.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Raam Fox | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 17.7% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Wood | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ava Gustafson | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 16.9% |
| Lucas Thress | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Brelage | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.3% |
| Patrick Igoe | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Pierce Brindley | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Jack Guinness | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Marco Welch | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 14.5% |
| Laura Smith | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 24.3% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 13.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% |
| Gavin Hudson | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.