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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.90+0.69vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.11+2.10vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.78-0.01vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.13+0.23vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+0.56vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.20-1.54vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.99+0.22vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.93-0.91vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-2.35-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.69Tufts University1.900.6%1st Place
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4.1Northeastern University0.110.1%1st Place
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2.99Brown University0.780.2%1st Place
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4.23University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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4.46Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
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7.22Bates College-1.990.0%1st Place
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7.09Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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7.66University of New Hampshire-2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Smith | 55.9% | 27.3% | 10.8% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 6.4% | 13.3% | 20.3% | 19.4% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Charles Case | 16.8% | 27.0% | 22.1% | 16.3% | 12.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 7.3% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 20.3% | 14.2% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Kai Latham | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 21.3% | 18.3% | 12.1% | 5.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 6.6% | 9.3% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 20.6% | 18.1% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Colin Kenny | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 10.8% | 20.1% | 29.8% | 25.2% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 21.5% | 27.0% | 24.0% |
| Gavin Tucker | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 14.9% | 23.5% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.