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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Shea Smith 55.9% 27.3% 10.8% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Isabella Cho 6.4% 13.3% 20.3% 19.4% 17.8% 13.9% 6.2% 2.0% 0.7%
Charles Case 16.8% 27.0% 22.1% 16.3% 12.0% 4.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Sean Lund 7.3% 12.6% 16.1% 18.2% 20.3% 14.2% 8.1% 2.4% 0.8%
Kai Latham 3.5% 5.0% 8.7% 12.5% 13.5% 21.3% 18.3% 12.1% 5.1%
Sean Morrison 6.6% 9.3% 15.8% 16.7% 20.6% 18.1% 9.3% 3.0% 0.6%
Colin Kenny 1.0% 2.4% 2.2% 3.7% 4.8% 10.8% 20.1% 29.8% 25.2%
Aengus Onken 1.5% 1.8% 2.1% 5.3% 6.5% 10.3% 21.5% 27.0% 24.0%
Gavin Tucker 1.0% 1.3% 1.9% 3.5% 3.3% 7.0% 14.9% 23.5% 43.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.