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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.11+2.91vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.90-0.18vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.78-0.02vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.20+0.39vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.13-0.75vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.93+1.09vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-2.35+0.72vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.99-0.78vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Northeastern University0.110.1%1st Place
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1.82Tufts University1.900.5%1st Place
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2.98Brown University0.780.2%1st Place
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4.39Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
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4.25University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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7.09Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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7.72University of New Hampshire-2.350.0%1st Place
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7.22Bates College-1.990.0%1st Place
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5.62University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Cho | 9.6% | 14.1% | 19.5% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Shea Smith | 51.0% | 27.9% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Case | 17.9% | 25.9% | 20.4% | 19.7% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 6.6% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 20.1% | 16.2% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Sean Lund | 7.3% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 19.4% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 11.7% | 20.1% | 28.6% | 23.1% |
| Gavin Tucker | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 14.3% | 24.7% | 44.1% |
| Colin Kenny | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 21.8% | 26.8% | 26.9% |
| Kai Latham | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 16.5% | 22.7% | 19.7% | 12.4% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.