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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.78+1.95vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.90-0.21vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.20+1.48vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+1.58vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.11-1.13vs Predicted
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6Bates College-1.99+1.18vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.13-2.66vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.93-0.87vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-2.35-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Brown University0.780.2%1st Place
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1.79Tufts University1.900.5%1st Place
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4.48Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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3.87Northeastern University0.110.1%1st Place
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7.18Bates College-1.990.0%1st Place
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4.34University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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7.13Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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7.67University of New Hampshire-2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Case | 18.9% | 24.3% | 23.9% | 16.4% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 50.5% | 29.9% | 12.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.9% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 19.5% | 18.8% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Kai Latham | 3.0% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 22.4% | 18.7% | 11.4% | 4.8% |
| Isabella Cho | 10.0% | 15.9% | 18.8% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Colin Kenny | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 18.5% | 28.1% | 26.5% |
| Sean Lund | 7.9% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 20.6% | 19.5% | 14.9% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 21.9% | 26.9% | 25.0% |
| Gavin Tucker | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 14.3% | 25.2% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.