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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.90+0.71vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.11+2.09vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.20+1.47vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.13+0.21vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.78-2.09vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-0.39vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-2.35+0.71vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.93-0.90vs Predicted
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9Bates College-1.99-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71Tufts University1.900.6%1st Place
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4.09Northeastern University0.110.1%1st Place
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4.47Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
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4.21University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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2.91Brown University0.780.2%1st Place
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5.61University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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7.71University of New Hampshire-2.350.0%1st Place
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7.1Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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7.18Bates College-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Smith | 55.2% | 27.3% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 5.8% | 11.9% | 21.8% | 21.3% | 17.9% | 13.0% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.9% | 9.5% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 21.2% | 17.9% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Sean Lund | 7.6% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 19.2% | 14.1% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Charles Case | 19.3% | 29.1% | 19.8% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kai Latham | 2.7% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 23.4% | 19.2% | 12.9% | 3.6% |
| Gavin Tucker | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 14.2% | 23.8% | 44.5% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 22.7% | 25.9% | 24.3% |
| Colin Kenny | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 9.6% | 20.8% | 28.7% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.